San Diego
W-L: (11-21) PR = 95.0932Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A OCCID 88-59 1107 H Idaho St BS (14-20, 94.7) 68-71 1112 A Idaho BS (21-15, 95.5) 78-74 1118 A Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 78-68 1121 H CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 71-85 1125 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 61-76 1130 H LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 72-76 1205 H San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 69-86 1209 H USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 81-94 1213 A No Arizona BS (11-22, 94.3) 78-69 1219 A UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 82-80 1222 H Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) 56-86 1228 A Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 66-54 1230 H Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 93-99 102 H San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 64-74 104 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 70-98 108 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 83-63 110 H Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 70-77 116 H Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 64-75 121 A Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 96-92 124 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 73-85 128 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 92-88 131 H Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 76-78 204 H Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 60-87 207 H Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 63-83 211 A Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 71-58 215 H San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 79-92 221 H Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 65-77 225 H Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 82-92 228 H Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 74-87 305 A Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 66-62 306 H Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 66-68
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Idaho St 68-71 -3 0 - -2.44
1112 A Idaho 78-74 4 0 + 2.40
1118 A Grambling St 78-68 10 1 1.07
1121 H CA Riverside 71-85 -14 0 - -2.39
1125 H Cal Baptist 61-76 -15 -1 -0.68
1130 H LB St 72-76 -4 0 - -2.38
1205 H San Jose St 69-86 -17 0 -1.80
1209 H USC 81-94 -13 -2 0.00
1213 A No Arizona 78-69 9 1 1.24
1219 A UC San Diego 82-80 2 -1 + 3.01
1222 H Washington 56-86 -30 -2 -0.16
1228 A Pacific 66-54 12 -1 + 2.97
1230 H Gonzaga 93-99 -6 -3 0.00
102 H San Fran 64-74 -10 -1 -0.94
104 H Santa Clara 70-98 -28 -2 0.00
108 A Pepperdine 83-63 20 1 1.50
110 H Pacific 70-77 -7 -1 -1.05
116 H Seattle 64-75 -11 -1 -0.86
121 A Wash St 96-92 4 -1 + 2.54
124 H Santa Clara 73-85 -12 -2 0.00
128 A Pepperdine 92-88 4 1 1.50
131 H Oregon State 76-78 -2 -1 -1.05
204 H Saint Marys 60-87 -27 -3 0.00
207 H Loyola Marym 63-83 -20 0 -1.53
211 A Portland 71-58 13 0 + 2.47
215 H San Fran 79-92 -13 -1 -0.94
221 H Loyola Marym 65-77 -12 0 -1.53
225 H Oregon State 82-92 -10 -1 -1.05
228 H Portland 74-87 -13 0 -1.55
305 A Loyola Marym 66-62 4 0 + 2.49
306 H Seattle 66-68 -2 -1 -0.86
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 H Idaho St 68-71 -3 0 - -2.44 1121 H CA Riverside 71-85 -14 0 - -2.39 1130 H LB St 72-76 -4 0 - -2.38 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1112 A Idaho 78-74 4 0 + 2.40 1219 A UC San Diego 82-80 2 -1 + 3.01 1228 A Pacific 66-54 12 -1 + 2.97 121 A Wash St 96-92 4 -1 + 2.54 211 A Portland 71-58 13 0 + 2.47 305 A Loyola Marym 66-62 4 0 + 2.49 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Idaho St (14-20, 94.7) 68-71 -5.24 2.24 -0.01 1.06 -2.79
3 A Idaho (21-15, 95.5) 78-74 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.06 6.53
3 A Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 78-68 -5.75 1.72 0.01 1.06 3.69
3 H CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 71-85 -5.19 2.29 -0.01 1.06 -2.77
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 61-76 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.06 -1.86
3 H LB St (11-22, 94.7) 72-76 -5.18 2.30 -0.01 1.06 -2.76
3 H San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 69-86 -4.59 2.88 -0.01 1.06 -2.45
3 H USC (18-14, 97.3) 81-94 -2.60 4.88 -0.01 1.06 -1.39
3 A No Arizona (11-22, 94.3) 78-69 -5.58 1.90 0.01 1.06 4.07
3 A UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 82-80 -3.81 3.67 0.01 1.06 7.84
3 H Washington (16-17, 96.9) 56-86 -2.96 4.52 -0.01 1.06 -1.58
3 A Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 66-54 -3.85 3.63 0.01 1.06 7.75
3 H Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 93-99 -1.37 6.10 -0.01 1.06 -0.74
3 H San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 64-74 -3.74 3.74 -0.01 1.06 -1.99
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 70-98 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.06 -1.28
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 83-63 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.06 4.61
3 H Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 70-77 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.06 -2.05
3 H Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 64-75 -3.65 3.82 -0.01 1.06 -1.95
3 A Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 96-92 -4.28 3.20 0.01 1.06 6.83
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 73-85 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.06 -1.28
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 92-88 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.06 4.61
3 H Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 76-78 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.06 -2.05
3 H Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 60-87 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.06 -1.14
3 H Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 63-83 -4.32 3.15 -0.01 1.06 -2.31
3 A Portland (15-19, 95.6) 71-58 -4.35 3.13 0.01 1.06 6.69
3 H San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 79-92 -3.74 3.74 -0.01 1.06 -1.99
3 H Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 65-77 -4.32 3.15 -0.01 1.06 -2.31
3 H Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 82-92 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.06 -2.05
3 H Portland (15-19, 95.6) 74-87 -4.35 3.13 -0.01 1.06 -2.32
3 A Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 66-62 -4.32 3.15 0.01 1.06 6.74
3 H Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 66-68 -3.65 3.82 -0.01 1.06 -1.95
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18.35
|
winning pts = 59.3697 losing points = -41.0233
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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